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Emily will be recognized at the AWIS Banquet on Tuesday June 6. More information Past announcements New Courses STAT 593: Jon Wellner is teaching a special topics course in the Spring entitled, "Concentration Inequalities and Empirical Process Methods for High-Dimensional Statistics. Fifth Conference on the Statistical Methods in Psychometrics will be held at Department of Statistics, Columbia University in the city of New York on November 17-18, 2017.

It is also the second conference of the 2017-2018 Special Focus Conference Series. Bollinger and Provost John H. Coatsworth host the University. Program Certificate Program Undergraduate Summer Internship Applied Statistics Center Center for Applied Probability Grossman Center Courses Fall Courses Spring Courses Summer Courses Course Descriptions Ph. Courses Help Room Calendar Department Calendar Seminars Statistics Seminar Series Student Seminar Series Probability Seminar Series Mathematical Finance Seminar Applied Probability and Risk Seminar Series Focus Series Seminar Listing Department Calendar People Faculty and Lecturers Department Directory Administrative Staff Ph.

Students Program Directors Visiting Faculty Post-docs Visiting Scholars Summer Visitors Searches Alumni Consulting Consulting Information News Department News Focus Series Search Fifth Conference on the Statistical Methods in Psychometrics Fifth Conference on the Statistical Methods in Psychometrics will be held at Department of Statistics, Columbia University in the city of New York on November 17-18, 2017.

University Lecture featuring Professor Andrew Gelman University Lecture featuring Professor Andrew Gelman Date: November 13, 2017 from 6:00 pm to 7:00 pm EST Location: Low Library, 535 W. David Blei, Professor of Statistics and Computer Science at Columbia University, has been named Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS). NewsFifth Conference on the Statistical Methods in PsychometricsUniversity Lecture featuring Professor Andrew GelmanFaculty and Post-doc positions available in the Department of StatisticsProfessors Lo and Zheng receives NSF funding for Big Data ResearchMore news M.

Programs The Statistics Department offers a flexible on campus M. Program The PhD program prepares students for research careers in probability and statistics in both academia and industry.

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The first year of the program is devoted to training in theoretical statistics, applied statistics, and probability. In the following years, students take advanced topics courses and seminars.

Undergraduate Programs The Statistics major builds on a foundation in probability and statistical theory to provide practical training in statistical methods, study design, and data analysis.

Quick LinksContact Us Faculty and Lecturers Department Calendar Department News Academic Programs Undergraduate Programs M. Program Seminars Computing Help Room Upcoming EventsRecent Faculty PublicationsStabilized Sparse Online Learning for Sparse DataCapacity-Achieving Sparse Superposition Codes via Approximate Message Passing DecodingSlice Sampling on Hamiltonian TrajectoriesFeature Augmentation via Nonparametrics and Selection (FANS) in High Dimensional ClassificationTopic-adjusted visibility metric for scientific articles.

Let us choose for you. Whether we consider ourselves math people or not, our ability to understand and work with numbers is terribly limited, says data visualization expert Alan Smith. In this delightful talk, Smith explores the mismatch between what we know and what we think we know. Previously he was Head of Digital Content at the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS).I was able to review things to do with our kids so they could pick out the things that they wanted to do and see while visiting Scotland.

It was nice to have a list of options to pick from. Every day was great. I especially loved the map with the highlighted routes, hotels and points of interest. While filling up the car, I got out to unfold the entire map and flip it over so we could see the upper section of Scotland. My daughter told me that people were looking at me as I did this.

I told her they had map envy. We found the tour expensive but we felt it was really worth it. We felt totally pampered and happy that we didn't have to think about anything but getting in the car and seeing the country. We had 12-hour days most days and still didn't manage to see everything that was suggested, so another visit is already on the list. Arnar was great in giving tips and patient with all our questions beforehand. Many thanks to Arnar and the rest of the staff for an exceptional experience.

I really felt like I was taken care of by you guys. This was the best trip of my life and best honeymoon I could ask for. Nordic Visitor takes good care of its clients. I never worried for a minute that everything would go as planned and that we would have an excellent experience. Thank you for a wonderful experience. We are already working with our travel consultant to book a return trip to Greenland. This was an amazing tour for us to take as a family holiday (with teenagers) giving us a little insight into each country.

Clearly planned to make the most of each city. I was so impressed by Nordic Visitor - the service felt so personal (we loved the handwritten notes on our map.

Everything was really clear, well organised and done with such friendliness. Thank you for making our holiday so memorable. It was a pleasure doing business with your company. All accomodations were perfect. All hotels were close to all the local attractions, easy to get to from the airport, train station, ferry station.

All the rooms were ready when I got there, they were clean and comfortable. The included breakfast were really delicious.

I am a vegetarian, and had plenty of options. My whole experience with Nordic Visitor has been exceptional, and I have been telling everyone of my friends how easy everything was. Sofia was very patient with me, and worked with me, to tailor the itinerary to my satisfaction, was prompt in answering all my questions.

Everything was done over email, which I loved, because I didnt have to rely on my memory. All in all, Nordic Visitor rocks. This was truly a trip of a lifetime. I wish I were younger. This was my first tour and cruise, and it was exciting and fun. Loved everything our travel agent Petra arranged.The extensive information you have on your website was very helpful in deciding how we wanted to approach our vacation and which tour to select.

The materials provided and the telephone assistance were both invaluable during our visit. I'm confident our adventure would not have been nearly the success it was without your assistance. Everything went very smoothly and we highly recommend to friends and family that you are the place to go for their Nordic Travel. Thank you so much. I have already been telling everyone what a great experience we had and sending people your way. We couldn't have had one of our best and most memorable holidays without you.

It was just stressfree and fabulous.

We are United Staters, we have been all over country including to Alaska back country twice and we have been to Ireland, England, Wales, ItalyFrance and Greece. I have enjoyed any of them as much as enjoyed Iceland.

The whole process from start to finish was very clear, Petra was very helpful and we would happily book another tour with you. Everything went very well on our tour. There were no issues with bookings and the hotels used were well located and good.

We had a wonderful time in Norway thanks to Sara and your company. The service provided by Sara made it a very straight forward holiday. The tour provided us with an excellent overview of Norway and we departed with very happy memories. I really like that I have an assigned agent for my trip booked with Nordic Visitor.

As our plane arrived late at Copenhagen airport, I didn't see the limousine drive holding a sign with my name and got worried.

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I sent an email to my agent, and was informed right away that she had called the limousine service and told me the exact location the drive was waiting. I found the driver and started to relax and enjoy my first trip to Scandinavia. The upgrade to the first class train ride from Stockholm to Copenhagen really enhanced the journey. The detailed itineraries reminded us things to do and suggested attractions to visit. The overall experience with Nordic Visitor is simply awesome. Everything about our trip was perfect.

Our guesthouses were exceptional. Maria went above and beyond for us. Thank you so much. Overall the trip was terrific and Hanna specially was exceptional. Everything that was provided was very detailed and top notch. She was also very patient with all our questions and changes that we requested. I would highly recommend Nordic Visitor and Hanna would be our go to person on any future trips.

I have already recommended Nordic Visitor to all my friends, family and colleagues.They have shown that it is not a problem for them when it comes to scoring goals. As for the team news, Jonny Castro returns after serving his suspension, while S.

Gomez and Mendez will misss this match due to the return of Hernandez and Cabral. Past Meetings: Last season Celta Vigo won twice when they met in the Cup, while both teams won at home. The Statistics : VALENCIA LAST SIX HOME FORM You can follow GoonersGuide on Twitter and get notified whenever a new preview is posted to the website. Check our bookmaker recommendations page for more info. READER FEEDBACK This preview has been read 1101 times.

FOLLOW YOUR CLUB ON 1 PAGE Just want to get to picks for YOUR club quickly. Try these pages for : Arsenal, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Chelsea, Dortmund, Everton, Inter Milan, Juventus, Liverpool, Manchester United and Real Madrid here. See match Report ADVICE : BITCOIN BETTING Got BitCoins. Want to bet with bitcoins. Read my Best Bookmaker page.

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Bovada Racebook Now On Mobile Devices. Countries that are excluded from betting at BetVictor are. We start off, as always, with the Football League returning a week before the Premier League.

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Middlesbrough are one of the teams with a new gaffer but the way Garry Monk inspired Leeds last season fills me with confidence.

Villa have added some impressive experience in the shape of John Terry, Glenn Whelan, Chris Samba, and Ahmed Elmohamady over the summer so on paper the squad justifies the price. There are several other contenders who should be right up there come May, including Sheffield Wednesday and Fulham, who finished fourth and sixth last season. Arguably, their best signings have been players they already had after they managed to tie both Tom Cairney and Ryan Sessegnon to new deals, so I expect them to push Boro all the way.

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It would be a big surprise to see Sunderland suffer back-to-back relegations, but at 14s, and dropping all the time, they could be worth a poke as an outside bet.

A month ago we said that the tour up North will be a good gaugewith regard to where exactly the balance of power lies in world rugby at present and how teams from across the pond stack up against each other.

You are keen to place your first rugby bet but find all this talk of Multiples, Yankees and Accumulators can be very confusing and we explain it all in this educational piece. Best bets and value tips for racing from Greyville on Sunday 10th December with selections provided by Winning Form as well as their back page tipster, Magic Tips.

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England SA League, Cup International European Club Home Oracle Rugby, Video Oracle Rugby, Euro Champions Cup, Euro Challenge C. Oracle Rugby provides his picks for Round 3 of the Euro Champions Cup and Euro Challenge Cup plus the Cape Town 7s Oracle Rugby, Cape Town 7s Betting TipsOracle Rugby provides his picks for Cape Town 7s to be staged from 9th to 10th December English Football Previews English Premier League Referee Stats, 9th to 10th.

James Park where struggling Newcastle host Leicester More English Football Crystal Palace v Bournemouth, EPL Betting Stats an. West Ham v Chelsea, EPL Betting Stats and TipsBurnley v Watford, EPL Betting Stats and TipsLiverpool v Everton, EPL Betting Stats and TipsManchester United v Manchester City, EPL Betting S.For more information on reviewing your content before sending, take a look at our campaign testing tips.

The Preview and Test menu is available from the Design step of the Campaign Builder for most campaign types and gives you an idea of how your campaign will look in your subscribers' inboxes. Because each email client renders HTML differently, we strongly recommend that you do additional testing of your campaign.

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If you're building a Plain-Text Campaign, you'll see Preview and Test on the Confirm step only. Navigate to the Design step of the Campaign Builder. Click the Preview and Test drop-down menu in the upper-right corner, and choose Enter preview mode.

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The left panel shows the desktop preview of your campaign, and the middle panel shows the mobile preview. You can click the Rotate link to change the orientation of the mobile preview. The right panel shows your campaign's Inbox Preview. Header Info displays the campaign information, like the subject line and reply-to email address.

To see how your merge tags will look in subscriber inboxes, toggle the slider to the green checkmark to enable live merge tags. If you continue to see test data, check out our troubleshooting merge tags article. Use MailChimp's Link Checker on the Design step of the Campaign Builder to make sure all the links in your campaign are valid and take your subscribers exactly where you want them to go.

Navigate Design step of the Campaign Builder. Click the Preview and Test drop-down menu in the upper-right corner, and choose Open Link Checker. The left panel displays a campaign preview, and the right panel lists all links in your campaign. Click a link in the right pane to open Link Details. The Link Details pane displays the URL the link points to, a screenshot of what the website looks like, and tells you whether the URL is valid.

MailChimp cannot preview links containing merge tags, anchors, or mail-to addresses in the Link Details pane. If you need to change the URL the link points to, click Edit link under the URL in the Link Details screen.

To navigate between checked links, you can either use your mouse or use keyboard shortcuts. Use your left and right arrow keys to move up and down the list, and "e" to edit a link. Link Checker is currently not available for Code Your Own template options, including Paste in code, Import Zip, and Import HTML. If using a Code Your Own template, you will want to thoroughly test your email to make sure all links are correct.

Link Checker also isn't available when creating a template in the Templates page of your account. Some social networks display a social card when your campaign is shared. This social card shows an image from your campaign along with some text to encourage viewers to click the link to your campaign's archive page. Customizing Social Cards is especially useful when you want to control what is displayed when your campaign is shared to Facebook or integrated with Twitter.

When testing your campaign, you can choose the featured image and text as well as preview the social card. Choose Social Cards from the Preview and Test drop-down menu on the Design or Confirm step of the Campaign Builder, and make any changes you want. The Social Cards feature isn't available when creating a template in the Templates page of your account.Give Feedback on Previews and discover new works created by other CreateSpace members.

Browse member works in the Preview Gallery, or learn more by watching our Preview video tutorial. Community Help Cart Books Music Film Free Publishing Resources Member Spotlight My Account Site Site Store Log In Sign Up Did you know that your Internet Explorer is out of date. We detected that you are using an outdated browser. Please upgrade your browser to continue using CreateSpace. Newer browsers allow you to safely use the CreateSpace website.

A list of popular web browsers is provided below. Customize your feedback by adding your own questions and prompts. Refine Your Work based on meaningful input and insights. From your Member Dashboard, click the Manage Previews link in the My Account navigation.

Click the Create a Preview button. Choose which type of Preview you want to make. Complete your Preview in three easy steps. Learn more about Preview Browse member works in the Preview Gallery, or learn more by watching our Preview video tutorial. About Us Contact Us Twitter Facebook Press Room. If you want early access to the next version of Android Studio, you don't have to replace your existing stable version.

You can install the Android Studio preview side by side with the stable version and work on the same app projects in both. This is possible because Android Studio stores its settings for each install in version-specific folders. For example, if you have the stable version of Android Studio 2. On Linux, they're in your home directory.

By default, all Android Studio installations share the same Android SDK tools location as specified in the SDK Manager, so updates to your other SDK tools are available in all versions of Android Studio.

If you don't already have it, download Android Studio stable here. It's good to have just in case you encounter a new bug in the preview version. After you download an Android Studio preview, simply save the application alongside any other version of Android Studio as described below. Note: If you download version 2. Otherwise, you might override your existing version of Android Studio. By default, each Android Studio installation receives updates corresponding to the channel you originally downloaded (Canary, Beta, or Stable).

If you want to change the update channel for a given install, follow these steps:When a new version of Android Studio is available for your channel, you'll receive a bubble notification in the IDE. For more information about update channels and updating the various SDK tool packages, read Update the IDE and SDK Tools.

Except as noted, this content is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2. For details and restrictions, see the Content License. You requested a page inbut your language preference for this site is. Would you like to change your language preference and browse this site in.

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If you want to change your language preference later, use the language menu at the bottom of each page. This doc is hidden because your selected API level for the documentation is. You can change the documentation API level with the selector above the left navigation. For more information about specifying the API level your app requires, read Supporting Different Platform Versions.To improve the forecasting power, this paper constructs macro indices from large datasets and adaptively chooses optimal indices to predict stock returns.

I find that adaptive macro indices explain a substantial fraction of the short-term variation in future stock returns, and have more forecasting power than both the historical average of stock returns and commonly used predictors. The forecasting power exhibits a strong cyclical pattern, implying the ability of adaptive macro indices in capturing time-varying economic conditions. This finding highlights the importance of using dynamically-measured economic conditions to investigates empirical linkages between equity premium and macroeconomic fundamentals.

We estimate the common macroeconomic factors using asymptotic principal component analysisdeveloped by Connor and Korajczyk (1986) and widely implemented for large macroeconomic panels (see Stock and Watson (2002a Watson (2002b Watson (2006), Ludvigson and Ng (2007, 2010), among others).

For a large number of macroeconomic time series this methodology can effectively distinguish noise from signal and summarize information into a small number of estimated common factors.

Macro Variables and the Components of Stock ReturnsArticleMar 2015J Empir FinanceViewShow abstract. Bulmash and Trivoli (1991) felt that long-term unemployment was related to capital market activity. Bai (2008) found that unemployment had 1.

Regime Switching Allocation PoliciesArticleDec 2017Kevin C KaufholdView. Backward induction used with dynamic programming could be used to determine optimal allocations. Bai (2008) felt that considerations of utility would produces a strong cyclical pattern: reduced investment in risky stocks at the beginning of recession and increased investment at the end of recession.

Allocations based on relative risk aversion showed a time-varying pattern across the business cycle. Forecasting is restricted to short term investment because most of the investors aim to gain profit in short period of time. This study focusses on small sized companies because the asset prices are lower, hence the asset are affordable for all level of investors. These expectations are updated on the basis of regularly occurring surprises in macroeconomic announcement data.

The response of asset prices to positive or negative announcement surprises has been a regular feature of the literature for more than 20 years. These articles suggest that these managers prefer pessimistic.

Although carefully collected, accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Publisher conditions are provided by RoMEO. Differing provisions from the publisher's actual policy or licence agreement may be applicable. This publication is from a journal that may support self archiving.

Here is the evidence that it can help predict short-run rates and that investors who ignore it and use random walk models may be leaving money on the table.

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Exchange rates are important to innumerable economic activities. Tourists care about the value of their home currency abroad. Investors care about the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on their international portfolios. Central banks care about the value of their international reserves and open positions in foreign currency as well as about the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on their inflation objectives.

Governments care about the prices of exports and imports and the domestic currency value of debt payments. No surprise then that forecasting exchange rates has long been at the top of the research agenda in international finance. Still, most of this literature is characterised by empirical failure.

Starting with the seminal contribution of Meese and Rogoff (1983), a vast body of empirical research finds that models which are based on economic fundamentals cannot outperform a naive random walk model (i. In academic jargon, exchange rates are thought to follow a random walk. At first glance, the random walk model makes a lot of sense. The person on the street knows that movements in exchange rates are often hard to explain and is reluctant to believe that fundamental forces are at play.

Exchange rates often swing wildly on a daily basis for reasons that apparently have little connection to economic and financial variables. Even worse, they often move in the opposite direction of differences in short-term interest rates across countries. Despite its simplicity, therefore, the random walk model remains appealing because it leads to smaller forecasting errors than most other exchange rate models. In this race, the random walk always wins.

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